Renoncer à la liberté : Comprendre les choix des détenus en matière de libération conditionnelle
In Quebec, offenders sentenced to more than six months are eligible for parole once they have served one-third of their sentence. About half of eligible offenders choose to waive their right to attend a parole hearing. Why?
A new CIRANO study (Lacroix et al., 2023) shows that for some offenders, the decision to renounce is actually a rational one. The results also suggest that parole has a significant impact on social reintegration. The study is based on exclusive administrative data from the Quebec Ministry of Public Security over a period of more than ten years. It is the only study conducted in Quebec that draws robust conclusions through the application of advanced econometric methods and machine learning techniques.