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Webinar : Workforce modeling in the health and education sectors

Friday 15 Oct 2021
From 12PM To 1PM

Marie Connolly, Researcher and CIRANO Fellow, Professor in the Department of Economics, ESG UQAM, Marc-Antoine Dionne, student at Université du Québec à Montréal (ESG UQAM) and Catherine Haeck, Researcher and CIRANO Fellow, Associate Professor in the Department of Economics, ESG UQAM, presented the highlights of the CIRANO report « Modélisation des effectifs dans les secteurs de la santé et de l’éducation ».

This webinar is part of the activities of the Pôle Modélisation of CIRANO under the direction of Dalibor Stevanovic (UQAM and CIRANO).

This report provides an estimate of the changing workforce in the health and education sectors based on administrative data. Using data from Statistics Canada's Longitudinal Education-Labour Market Linkage Platform, the researchers track the labour market outcomes of post-secondary graduates in teaching and nursing, two occupations that are currently experiencing recruitment challenges. They present figures on the number of graduates by year for cohorts graduating from 2010 to 2016, as well as their retention rate in the province of graduation. They also present median residency and income paths. This report focuses on Quebec, but the researchers also present figures for Ontario for comparison. The results suggest that few Quebec graduates choose to move outside the province: less than 5% of graduates since 2010 do so. Thus, retention is much higher than in Ontario, which has much higher attrition rates. Using data from the 2016 Canadian Census of Population, the researchers also calculate retention in the profession by age. The results suggest that retention rates in both nursing and education have been relatively stable for nearly 25 years. Contrary to the media message, it does not appear that there is more or less difficulty in retaining new faculty in the profession. It seems that there has always been some attrition rate of about 25%. Finally, they also relayed figures on demographic projections from the Institut de la statistique du Québec. The figures provided in this report can be used as a basis for future simulation work. The researchers conclude with a brief review of some of the initiatives used in other countries to increase enrolment in teaching.

→ Find the video of the webinar on Youtube

Marie Connolly

A CIRANO Researcher and Fellow since 2009, Marie Connolly is Full Professor in the Department of Economics at the École des sciences de la gestion of the Université du Québec à Montréal (ESG UQAM) and Vice Dean of Research at ESG UQAM. She is also founder and director of the Research Group on Human Capital.

Holding a Ph.D. in Economics from Princeton University, her research is primarily empirical and touches upon various topics in labor economics, such as social mobility, the formation of human capital, the gender wage gap, subjective well-being, women’s labor force participation and the evaluation of public policy. She is also interested in the economics of popular music, including the resale of concert tickets and the environmental practices of rock bands.

Her work as been published in the Journal of Labor Economics, the Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization and the Canadian Journal of Economics, among others.

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Marc-Antoine Dionne

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Catherine Haeck

A CIRANO Researcher and Fellow since 2011, Main Researcher of the theme Skills, Catherine Haeck is Full Professor in the Department of Economics at the École des sciences de la gestion of the Université du Québec à Montréal. She is also director of the CIQSS-UQAM-INRS Laboratory, a visiting researcher at the Quebec Inter-University Centre for Social Statistics (QICSS), a member of the Human Capital Research Group, a member of the Research Unit on Children's Psychosocial Maladjustment and researcher affiliated with the Education Policy Research Initiative.

Holding a Ph.D. in Economics from the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, her research focuses on the human capital development of children and youth. She has written about universal childcare, prenatal nutrition programs, parental leave reforms, and school reforms. Her current research focuses on the impact of class size reduction on student outcomes, and also the impacts of universal childcare on household expenditures. She also studies the geographical and temporal evolution of intergenerational mobility in Canada compared to the United States with an aim to better understand the causal relationship between education and mobility.

She has published in several major economic and human capital journals, in addition to having received more than $9M in research grants since 2014 (including SSHRC and FRQSC).

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