Event organized in collaboration with
Ulrich Blum, Full Professor of Economics at the Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg (MLU) (Germany) and Founding Director of the Center for Economics of Materials (CEM), presented his work on the economic warfare.
Abstract of his article "Economic Warfare and Expected Dominance Theory":
The world financial crisis in the 2000 has given rise to a more belligerent economic vocabulary. Economic Warfare has become a weasel word in journalism and politics, especially since the strategic economic rivalry between China and the US climaxed.
We distinguish between competition and economic warfare as the two faces of economic rivalry. Derived from the military, we provide a clear definition and relate it to other types of warfare that are included in the world of hybrid warfare. We continue by providing a rigorous micro-economic foundation. In a dynamic world, motivation to enter an economic war may depend on expectations on the development of future economic – and potentially other – performances of nations. We propose expected dominance theory as a generalized concept that encompasses ideas as expressed in Thukydides-Trap arguments, continental-maritime-rivalries or expected trade theory. We finally point out, that economic warfare may be conceptualized as a basic starting point for hybrid warfare as military warfare has been for a long time. Anecdotal evidence is used to underpin these ideas.